SAG noms in 1 Month, then Oscar voting begins

Which 5 films will SAG nominate for ensemble? That 5th slot becomes important. I’m gonna go Master. It may not still be a top 5 Oscar nomination, but I believe the force of its acting talent will cause it to slide into a nomination with the Actors branch. The main two alternatives are Zero Dark Thirty and Life of Pi.

Sometimes amidst a whole slew of various dates for nominations opening, nominations closing, winners opening, winners closings for several different races, it is helpful to take each at a time. The SAG nominations will be announced on the 12th of December, just about a month from now. A few short days later the voting for Oscars begins. The SAG awards are presented on January 27th, a few weeks ahead of Oscar winner voting begins. Therefore, the SAG will continue to have a major impact on shaping the race, who voters can consider those where votes might make a difference.

So we know that in about a month the battle lines will be clearly drawn for the Oscars as a whole. Therefore, here are my predictions for, specifically, the SAG nominations for film (no partiular order):

Actress

Jennifer Lawrence

Keira Knightley

Jessica Chastain

Marion Cotillard

Emmanuelle Riva

Sactor

Tommy Lee Jones

Philip Seymour Hoffman

Robert De Niro

Alan Arkin

Leonardo Dicaprio

Actor

Denzel Washington

Joaquin Phoenix

Daniel Day-Lewis

Hugh Jackman

John Hawkes

Sactress

Amy Adams

Helen Hunt

Anne Hathaway

Sally Field

Maggie Smith

Ensemble:

Lincoln

Silver Linings Playbook

Argo

Les Miserables

The Master

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